Showing posts with label Passing. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Passing. Show all posts

Thursday, August 26, 2010

Chalkboards: Arsenal vs. Blackpool

Here's a few chalkboards from Arsenal's 6-0 beatdown of Blackpool.
Passing Chalkboard for Arsenal vs. Blackpool (click to enlarge)

Ironically, the passing differential was relatively low for the match. What is clear from the chalkboards is that much more of Arsenal's passing took place in front Blackpool's goal than Blackpool's passing in front of Arsenal's goal (see right hand side of each chalkboard).

Tomas Rosicky Passing Chalkboard (click to enlarge)

As the commentator's pointed out during the match, Tomas Rosicky carved up Blackpool. The chalkboard bears this out, showing many successful passes in the middle of Blackpools end of the pitch at a 90% success rate.

Team Shots Chalkboard (click to enlarge)

The team's play, especially Rosicky's, translated to far more shots for Arsenal than Blackpool. Arsenal's 30 shots were nearly ten times greater than Blackpool's four. Only 12 of Arsenal's shots were off-target, representing a 60% on target rate.

Ultimately, it was that increased number of shots that led to the six Arsenal goals.

Tuesday, August 17, 2010

Statistics as Conversation Starters

I got the following email in response to an earlier post from a friend who has been an Arsenal supporter much longer than me.
Up until last year, [my wife] and I have been huge fans of Sagna and Clichy, but last season we got really frustrated with both of them. Defensively they are great, but too often they make the pass (cross) that makes us lose the ball. Especially Sagna C-A-N-N-O-T cross the ball. Always too low, or to an opponents feet, and then we are caught in a counter attack. Against Liverpool Sagna made 6 attempts to cross the ball into the box- all unsuccessful! Which must be considered a crime now when we have Chamakh who is a beast in front of the goal and famous for his headers. Check out the attached chalkboard.

It's interesting to see that only Clichy had a worse completion percentage than Sagna. Perhaps my theory of missing RvP and Fabregas is only part of the story. If my friend is correct, it won't matter who Arsenal stick in the middle up front if they can't get them the ball due to poor passing.

Sunday, August 15, 2010

New Season, Same Old Arsenal

When the 2010-2011 Premier League schedule came out, I circled the season kickoff between Arsenal and Liverpool. You see, if there's one set of matches I will always make time for at the George and Dragon (rather than my own couch) it's the two Premier League ties between the Gunners and the Reds. It's a way for me to enjoy the beautiful game with one of the guys who got me into the sport, and he just happens to be a Liverpool fan.

I say "make time for" because most Premier League matches are on the weekends - when I have my children from my first marriage three out of every four a month. It's not right for me to take time away from them, and you can imagine it is very difficult to find a babysitter for that time of day. So, on these two weekends a year, I call on my now-wife (then-fiance) to watch the children while I enjoy some Premier League action early on a weekend morning.

A lot has changed since I last watched my Gunners at the George for last year's second win against Liverpool. I've made it through my first World Cup as a dedicated fan. I also got married this summer. Too bad my team hasn't changed much during that time.

As I showed up at the George this morning I was greeted by a starting lineup with no van Persie, an active squad without Fabregas, and the painful reminder of no goal keeper upgrade by seeing Almunia's name over the goal. It didn't take long to make this reminder of 2009-2010 turn into a painful reality.

Almunia gave up another early second half goal that any other goal keeper would have turned into a picture perfect save. Why Arsene Wenger refused to make a keeper his top transfer priority this offseason is beyond me. Arsenal has plenty of defensive holes to worry about, but the squad has absolutely ZERO confidence in the goal keeping squad. Watching that early defensive collapse and Almunia failure had me muttering, "not this again."

On the offensive side, it was yet another match with no van Persie and no Fabregas in the starting lineup. This translated to a lot more passing than usual, even for Arsenal! Passing statistics for both teams were:
  • Arsenal: 451 successful passes out of 511 attempts
  • Liverpool: 193 successful passes out of 263 attempts
This translated to a total pass differential of 248 in favor of Arsenal, a total pass ratio of 1.94, and a successful pass percentage difference of 14.9%. Comparing these to the distribution of the same statistics from Arsenal's 2009-2010 campaign, one finds that these rank in the 65th, 63rd, and 85th percentile, respectively. This means that Arsenal passed a little bit more frequently than last year's average, but had a far better pass accuracy than the opposition compared to their performances last year.

A graphical representation of all that passing can be seen in Figure 1.

Figure 1: Passing Chalkboards for Arsenal vs Liverpool (Aug 15, 2010)

The benefit of all this passing showed up in the number of opportunities for Arsenal, but not perhaps the quality of them. They had double the shots (18 vs 9), with Liverpool benefitting from a higher proportion of blocks (6 for 33% vs. Arsenal's 2 for 22% of the shots). Watching the match, I am sure many of those Arsenal shots came in that flurry of action 10 minutes from the end.

The frustrating reality for an Arsenal fan like myself is that without van Persie or Fabregas on the pitch, teams are not fearful of all the passing. Arsenal has no real finisher under those conditions, and they truly look like a team just happy to keep passing for passing's sake. In reality, they have a bunch of role players on the pitch that are used to passing to set up someone else. Arsenal is in real trouble if they have to go through yet another season with such a situation being the weekly reality. I hope that is not the case.

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